lichess.org
Donate

Does this pawn structure have any promise for white

White can reroute the knight on c3 to the kingside with (after any necessary preparations) Bd3, Nce2, c3 (to fortify d4) and Ng3. Then it's a reverse Carlsbad structure. White should seek a kingside attack since Black's minority attack on the queenside guarantees him long-term play. But White, by virtue of having the first move, has an extra tempo compared to Black in the QGD. So unless Black has some tricky tactics right at the beginning which might complicate matters, this position should be fine for White. White just needs to play actively.

But your question was about pawn structure. The pawn structure here holds no promise for White; Black has the Queenside minority, Black has more central pawns; Black has the structural advantages here. White is fine, but not because of the pawn structure.
Searching on my old Chessbase, I discovered that from this position Black historically tends to do better than White.
Stockfish engine's analysis to depth 34 suggests White has small edge of 0.31 but Komodo engine gives a level evaluation.
This is equal. Here is an example with the same psition reached by transposition
A long time ago when I read Silman's "How to Reassess Your Chess", he explained why such a position wasn't ideal.

It's all about development... yes, your knights and bishops and queens will develop fine, but your a1 rook has nowhere to go.
As opposed to if your pawn was on c4, then you could place your a1 rook on c1 anticipating an eventual opening on the c file.

Of course, this was all a generalization. There are exceptions, for example if you decide to castle queenside, where placing your knight on c3 before playing pawn to c4 gives you quick development.
The position is just pretty close to equal. The reason black scores better than white is that stronger players are less likely to play Nc3 prematurely in such a structure, so on average white will be the lower rated player.

Essentially this is just a queens gambit declined exchange variation with reversed colors where white has used the extra tempo on Nc3. I dont think that is the most critial line as the critical lines in the Caro-Kann exchange variation generally involve either restricting the Bc8 or playing c4. The former of which white is now too slow to do as Nc3 doesn't help in that regard and the latter of which can't be done with the knight on c3.

This is all to say white is just playing black with an extra tempo, which also means white has probably "equalized for free" relative to actually playing black.

This topic has been archived and can no longer be replied to.